Tennessee vs Florida 9/17/2011

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Florida is a heavy favorite winning 76% of simulations over Tennessee. John Brantley is averaging 225 passing yards and 1.1 TDs per simulation and Chris Rainey is projected for 66 rushing yards and a 45% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 24% of simulations where Tennessee wins, Tyler Bray averages 2.37 TD passes vs 0.89 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.21 TDs to 1.21 interceptions. Tauren Poole averages 60 rushing yards and 0.55 rushing TDs when Tennessee wins and 53 yards and 0.29 TDs in losses. Florida has a 35% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLA -9.5

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